I watched the second video.  It is definitely a "glass is half empty" point of view with many things that are either misleading or counter points can be made.  He portrays the schedule as super tough.  With two games against each of the AFC South teams and a game against each of the NFC South teams, you have 10 games right there against teams with losing records last year.  The bottom line is that based upon last year's records, the Jaguars have one of the 10 easiest schedules this year.  It's the easiest schedule of any of last year's AFC playoff teams.

Many also think the schedule plays out well for the Jaguars.  With Buffalo being at a neutral site, the Jaguars only play 1 game at a road team's stadium that had a winning record last year and that team only barely had a winning record at 9-8.  That's an opportunity to have a good road record.  Yes, there are some tough home games, but if you have to play tough games, wouldn't you prefer them at home?  It gives the Jaguars a better chance at pulling off some upsets.

The video mentions that the Jaguars needed a big play to beat the Titans at the end of the season.  However, you can do that the other way too.  If a rookie doesn't make a needless roughing the passer penalty in an earlier game, the Jaguars likely not only have another win, but would also have had the tie breaker advantage over the Titans.  The Jaguars would have entered the final game of the season up by 2.5 games and having clinched the division before even stepping on the field against the Titans.  In that scenario, no one is considering the division race to be close.  Again, we're talking about one mistake from one rookie in one game.   

The video also makes too big of a deal out of the Jaguars barely beating the Titans with them playing Dobbs.  Teams have good and bad days and sometimes circumstances come into play.  The Jaguars were playing on a short week against the Titans who came into the game well rested with their prior game being a Thursday night game and even choosing to rest many of their starters in that game.  The video also forgets to mention that the Jaguars faced the Titans four games earlier with Tannehill playing and the Jaguars beat them by 14 points.

While the Jaguars did win some close games (most NFL games are close), they also lost many close games.  The Jaguars had the lead in the 4th quarter in five of their losses.  Another game could have gone to overtime with one more score.  Another game had two missed fields goals that were easily makeable.  If the Jaguars just make one of those two field goals, that's a one score game too.  It wouldn't have taken much to change a lot of these losses into wins and I think Ridley is huge for the Jaguars.  While I don't think they will have gaudy stats, I also think Strange and Bigsby will help in ways that may go under the radar.  In the games the Jaguars did lose early in the season, struggling in the redzone was typically a major reason.  Strange and Bigsby will be very valuable in these situations.  They will also help get first downs and keep drives alive.  Bigsby will also help close out games when the Jaguars have the lead.  Again, five leads in the fourth quarter turned into loses.  While multiple things go into that, having a running back who can kill off the clock is definitely part of it.  That was never ETN's strength.

I also think it's definitely a "half empty" approach to portray winning five straight games to end the regular season as somehow being a negative.  Trevor Lawrence and others showed improvement starting in week 9.  They won 7 of their last 9 regular season games with one of the losses being a road game against the eventual Super Bowl Champions.  For the last 9 games, this was a team that was very hard to beat.  Barring injuries, I see little reason to believe it can't/won't continue into 2023.

---