(11-11-2023, 10:49 AM)TheDogCatcher Wrote:

(11-11-2023, 10:47 AM)NYC4jags Wrote: I don't like using any of those analogies for selecting players in the draft.

The rate of failure is high in every round of the draft and for every position. 
Some are better than others - but every single selection regardless of position and round taken has a high failure rate.

Alternative summary: Elite GMs/Howie Roseman > average GMs/Baalke > Caldwell/Gene Smith

I'm treating the Baalke era in Jacksonville separately from whatever he did before he got here.
He wasn't collaborating with Doug Pederson before, and I think that is making a difference. 

In that regard - I'm not going to lump him in with one group or category just yet until we see what comes of the 22 and 23 draft classes and how well he manages the cap with the pending big contracts looming. 

Also worth pointing out that Roseman, like every GM, has had some swings and misses.

Here are some first round duds going back to 2014 from Roseman:
Marcus Smith
Carson Wentz (~)
Andre Dillard
Jalen Reagor

2nd round duds:
JJ Arcega-Whiteside
Sydney Jones
(there are 4 years with no 2nd round pick between 2014 and now)

3rd:
Davion Taylor ( 7 starts in 3 years - a lot like the Baalke/Muma scenario) 
Rasul Douglas (fizzled in Philly - journeyman hot and cold player now)
Josh Huff
Isaac Seumolu


Roseman has his share of wasted capital.

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