I'm kind of confused here.

 

The question seems to go all over the place.  Why assume that Bridgewater is going to bust?  And I don't mean "He's not going to bust!"  I mean what purpose does the assumption make.  I mean in a hypothetical scenario, you should have some purpose for assumptions that you make..There doesn't appear to be a purpose to it here though.  It's presenting  one bad scenario, and one good scenario.

 

From the comment from Dave, I'd presume that the question is: Which is worse; Passing on the right guy, or picking the wrong one.  

 

At first glance, "Picking the wrong one." is the obvious choice.  But the real scenarios here are really:


Scenario A: You have evaluated a player, and believe he can be a franchise QB.  You take him, and he turns out to be the wrong guy.


Scenario B: You have evaluated a player, and believe he can be a franchise QB.  You pass on him, and he turns out to be the right guy for another team.

 

Which is a bit more complex, but is also making the assumption that your evaluations may be wrong.  It concerns me that Dave seems to have this mindset, because you should go with your evaluations.  

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