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Which situation is worse for a team? Taking a bad QB or having a middle of the road QB?

#65

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Ex.

Say you weigh a QB on a scale of 1-10 as a 10 and you have a prospect that you believe has a 30%  chance of being successful. You multiply the percentage by the weight and you get a score of 3. Say you have a guard you weigh as a 5 that you believe has a 70% chance of being successful. You multiply that out and you get a weighted score of 3.5. 3.5 is greater than 3 so you take the guard.

 

If you stay disciplined to this approach you would maximize the overall talent in your drafts. This way you can take longer odds on guys who will have a bigger impact without passing up true value when it is there.

 

So to answer your question, it depends. It depends on how confident you feel in the QB vs what kind of value is still on the board.
 

This is a really neat little idea that you have. A worry that I have is that now you are throwing around not one but two subjective grades. You're grading a player's talent, then his potential to not pan out. I like the idea, but it just seems like there are a lot of moving parts to the scenario.

I'm trying to make myself more informed and less opinionated.

Stop saying whatever stupid thing you're talking about and pay attention to all the interesting things I have to say!
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Which situation is worse for a team? Taking a bad QB or having a middle of the road QB? - by Deacon - 03-25-2014, 02:10 PM



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