(01-01-2024, 01:51 PM)OG-JAGFAN Wrote: Many including myself thought that after this season it would be time to give Lawrence that huge extension. To me it is a big no for me at the present time.

Lawrence has all the potential and talent in the world. If we are being unbiased, it has not translated on the field. In 15 games he has 19 passing TDs in 15 games. Lawrence also leads the league in turnovers in 19.  I know that many of the Lawrence defense force points out because "x receiver drops balls is why his numbers are low." I call BS on that. Every team in the NFL have receivers that drops balls. I watch redzone and see it all the times. It is part of the game.  I still see a QB who lacks a soft touch when throwing the ball, a QB who misses receivers much more than elite QBs do, Miss open receivers to the point the broadcasters during the game are calling him out on it, just overall a bi-polar QB level of play.  For every positive trait of Lawrence I can give you a negative. Reminds me of Favre who at one time had the most TDs but also had the most INT's.  I do not see in Lawrence that Dawg of a QB who can carry a team. Could he become that guy?  Sure but not at the present time.

So the Question: Do you feel comfortable investing around 30-50% of the team's yearly salary cap on Trevor Lawrence?

No. He's a great talent. The franchise has started winning over the last two years now since we got the first year out of the way. With that said, the turnovers need to be significantly cut back on. Again, not blind. We see it on a weekly basis and it's tough sledding for him, but, when the ball is in your hands? You have to hold onto it and you have to make better decisions. 

If that means you have to be check down Charlie a few times here and there? Do it. If that means you need to chuck it out of bounds and target the Gatorade tubs? Do it. Nobody's going to grill you for playing it safe, living to see another series and giving your opponents a longer field of possession to work with. 

I mentioned this already in another thread, as far as where I would price him in the QB market and where he should be at in my opinion, some would argue it's probably being generous because he doesn't have nearly as many as TD's to offset his turnovers, but, I think ideally, you give him the same contract that Buffalo gave Josh Allen just two, three years ago.

This would place him at around the 10th - 11th mark for QB's. Which is fine in my opinion. This would put him over $200M overall, but, I would keep him under Allen's mark which I think is around $225M. I would incentive the hell out of it. Meaning, you give me a season where you turn the football over maybe less than 10 times in total, or, you give me a stupid good TD:TO ratio? Say, 35 to 15? We'll kick you some more cash. 

Going into year four, this team still needs to do a lot of things to set him up for success. Starting in the trenches naturally. Then looking to see if they can add some additional receiving options around him once the trench has been fixed to some extent.

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