(02-01-2024, 01:14 PM)wg171 Wrote:

(02-01-2024, 11:04 AM)NYC4jags Wrote: There are only a few 1000 yard receivers hitting the market and there are more than a few teams that need one.

They'll all get overpaid.

The odds of the Jags working a deal with Allen and using the tag on Ridley before the tag deadline are slim because it behooves the Allen camp to wait and see what other edge players sign for to push up Allen's number.

That means the Jags will likely be forced to tag Allen in order to protect him from the open market.

Ridley will have to decide between an offer of slightly less money to stay in a system he just learned - or get overpaid to start over somewhere new.

Probably the most realistic scenario.

Guessing Allen won’t accept less than 22-23 mil a year.

Allen should get a six year deal close to $130M. This would make his yearly cap hit just under $22M per year. People keep getting caught up in the short term while ignoring the fundamental facts of life with the NFL and the yearly salary cap adjustments. 

Just like the Christian Kirk deal two years ago, it's top dog money for maybe a brief moment in the sun and then it looks like peanuts crumbled up in a bag on a small airplane compared to the next wave of guys that are due money. People will have a [BLEEP] fit when Allen gets paid while ignoring the MAMMOTH extensions that guys like Micah Parsons & T.J Watt are due for.

Also, if we're talking trajectories now? By the time Allen's deal is up here? Guess who they have to turn around and pony up for? #44 is going to get him a big pay day as well. Him hitting double digit sacks is impressive in year two. Don't be surprised if he's in the 12 - 17 range in 2024 later on this year.

---