(02-29-2024, 02:00 PM)Jaguarmeister Wrote:

(02-29-2024, 12:45 PM)NYC4jags Wrote:

• Best available according to your board
  
• Positional Value
  
• Positional depth in particular draft class
  
• Prioritized Needs
  
• Projected depth of class at all of your needs 
  

If anyone is not accounting for ALL of these factors - they are bungling their draft. 
If any GM looks at a camera and tells you he's going to take the top player available from his board at every pick he is lying through his teeth. That's a fairy tale.

When you get down to the nitty-gritty of it - it is about exactly how far you deviate from your board to take a player that will be more valuable to your team than a player available you graded slightly higher but don't need. 

That fine line between choosing value over grade and flat out "reaching."

Agreed.  Also, I think a pick like Muma winds up happening because he was probably graded head and shoulders better than anyone left on your board (BAP), but you were probably hoping/expecting someone else at a different position to have been there. The draft didn't unfold the way you wanted/expected, but you made the "best decision" you could given the new circumstances when you were on the clock. If the mandate is just "build board/draft top guy" at each selection every round without care, you can input that into a computer and have it auto draft for you and get the same results.  No need for a GM after the board is built if that's the case.  I don't think that's necessarily what happened at the Muma pick even if it looks like it after the fact.  In other words, I don't think the failure was in the pick, it was in the preparation for the draft.  In Baalke's defense, it's a very difficult task to prepare for 31 other hidden agendas while protecting your own.  You're not going to win every pick, every scenario or every draft, you just have to win more than you lose to be considered good.  I think even those of us in the "Calm the [BLEEP] Down" camp with regards to firing Baalke are of the opinion that he doesn't have a lot of wiggle room left for failure moving forward though.

Yeah.
He's painted himself into a corner a bit. 
As I see it - he has a list of requirements to prove he's worthy of keeping the job:

• Improve the OL enough to bring run game back from the dead
  
• Get TL enough protection to get through the season mostly healthy and able to take more PA shots downfield
  
• Find more interior push on IDL
  
• Get Nielsen enough of what he needs to shore up the secondary to mid-tier level (yard allowed + RZ performance)
  
• Manage contracts for obvious FAs and impending deals adequately
  

Another thing that would really help him is Walker continuing to improve at edge and however else Nielsen deploys him + last years early picks showing value in the offense in year 2 

That's a lot. 
Do-able - but a lot.

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