(03-16-2024, 09:53 PM)Jag149 Wrote:

(03-16-2024, 08:52 PM)Jaguarmeister Wrote: Trading back 2-4 spots from 17 is solidly 4th round pick compensation territory.  A 3rd would normally be a massive overpay, so I seriously doubt we see such an offer.  If we do, we should probably just take whoever it is that fell to 17 that’s eliciting the 3rd round offer.

Spot 17 is 950 points, pick #21 is 800 so 150 difference.  3rd round pick #24 is 150.  Can get in the latter part of the 3rd at a 4 spot drop. Dropping back 3 spots to pick 20 a 100 point difference. (round 4 pick #4)  Yea agree if we can't get fair value just pick (unless the compensation is close and you KNOW you can get your next target)
 
points chart
http://www.mynfldraft.com/points.php

Yeah if you move back 4 or more you might get a late 3rd.  Definitely an overpay to move back 1-3 spots though.  I seem to recall us moving up a couple of spots to 5 to select Blackmon years ago and it only cost us a 4th but the points chart suggested it should have been solidly a 3rd.  Miami would have to be in love with a guy to pay a 3rd to move up 4 spots to come get him is all.  That said, I'm probably not interested in moving back to scoop up another 4th unless I'm sure I can get my guy ala like Baalke did last year with the trade prior to selecting Harris. 4th rounders aren't worthless, but missing out on your guy or trading back and missing on a higher tier graded player for a 4th is a significant error IMO.

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