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Welcome Brian Thomas Jr. Jags new star receiver

  • Offline Mikey
    Prepare to be underwhelmed

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#120
05-09-2024, 12:53 PM

(05-09-2024, 10:54 AM)cland Wrote:
(04-29-2024, 08:15 AM)Mikey Wrote: it's not a 2.

A 2 is almost guaranteed to be a starter. Day 3 guys are your kick coverage team, guys that barely hang on to a roster spot.

We don't need to fill the bottom of the roster. We been doin that for three years already.

A 2nd rounder has a %33 chance of becoming a starter (so it's way less than guaranteed), a 3rd rounder has a %16 chance.  (1st rounder has a %50 chance.)  If you tally a team with their allotted picks (1 pick in each round) they have a %117 of finding a starter throughout the draft, a %58 chance of having 2 starters, etc. These numbers are based off finding a run-of-the-mill starting player.  As expected the numbers change based on your slot in each round, so I would assume these numbers are based on a team in the middle slot (exactly where the Jaguars were.)

My feeling is that the best GMs can increase that number by %10 or so, but I don't have any numbers to back up that opinion.

source?

I smell some skewed stats. Maybe day one starter percentages above?
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RE: Welcome Brian Thomas Jr. Jags new star receiver - by Mikey - 05-09-2024, 12:53 PM



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