(05-10-2024, 10:40 AM)cland Wrote:

(05-09-2024, 12:53 PM)Mikey Wrote: source?

I smell some skewed stats. Maybe day one starter percentages above?

Here's a link to the numbers I've used (they show up on the google search results for whatever that's worth): 20 year analysis as it had the longest time period and had the most clear data.  I came up with 117% by adding all of the percentages from round 1 - round 7.  This link shows that 44% of first rounders sign a 2nd contract with the teams that have drafted them from (since 2011).  More analysis here.

Yeah - it is this kind of perspective that fuels the hyperbolic bashing of GMs and their draft choices. 
(well, it's one of the things that fuels it)

Folks by and large don't see that the odds are against even the first-third rounders. 

As I've said at least 8 times since February here:
"The draft is a crapshoot." 

All these FO's are making educated guesses and hoping they get lucky. 
Tons of prospects that look good on paper fail to make it to their third year or even earn a roster spot at all.

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