(09-03-2024, 04:38 PM)Lucky2Last Wrote: I'm going to need a link to that.

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I don't see anywhere on his site or twitter that reflects those numbers.

Those aren't polls but I think he takes averages and then creates odds and represents it as % chance. So the vote % may not be huge but if it is solid and unchanged, the higher the winning % will be.

(09-03-2024, 05:39 PM)OG-JAGFAN Wrote:

(09-03-2024, 04:38 PM)Lucky2Last Wrote: I'm going to need a link to that.

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I don't see anywhere on his site or twitter that reflects those numbers.

Polls mean squat.  I learned that the hard way when I was foreign to politics and watched the Hillary/Trump Election.  I was watching all these "expert" and "professional" pollsters all swearing that Hillary was easily going to take the win. They all had this smug arrogance about them with all the polls showing HIllary would win.  They learned a hard lesson not to trust the polls that night.

Most of the polls do not tell you "who" they are polling.  Prime example,  IF an "expert" interviewed 100,000 people and had data that Harris was going to easily win, that would be on the front page of the NY times and all over ABC/CNN/MSNBC and every other news outlet .  The part that same pollster may have left out is he did the poll in California, or the North east, or somewhere crazy liberal.  My point being is outside of clear labeled national polls you cannot trust them.

Polls are now required to share that info. It's why all the MSM polls are being laughed at. They are all oversampling democrats and previous Biden voters. The %s keep increasing with each poll as they can't hide the real numbers.

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