(09-23-2024, 01:12 PM)Jaguarmeister Wrote:

(09-23-2024, 12:45 PM)flgatorsandjags Wrote: 6 teams have done it since 1979.  4 since 1990 and only a 2.5% have done it

I'll presume those numbers are correct, but I think it would be even more difficult with more teams in fewer divisions as was the case in the 90s and before.  I'd probably start the analysis to coincide with the league going to 4 divisions in each conference.  With 4 divisions with 4 teams each, your biggest hurdle is the other 3 teams within the division.  Also, in recent years the league has put an emphasis on having more division games in the final weeks of the season and they've expanded the playoffs to include an extra team (7 of 16 teams now make the playoffs in each conference).  These things somewhat erode the relevancy of the numbers you show above, not to say that such a start shouldn't be concerning to those chances, however.