(11-12-2024, 11:30 PM)mikesez Wrote: The R's almost certainly will run Vance.  There will be an upstart candidate challenging Vance.  It won't be Ron.  They are too similar.  It won't be any current senator or governor.  That lane is likely closed for now.  The best scenario for the R's is another figure from the corporate world or entertainment world steps up to challenge Vance. It would give Vance a foil and a quest to win and whichever candidate who won would be that much stronger.  The worst scenario is Don Jr or Eric challenges him.  The Trump kid would probably lose but it would badly wound Vance's candidacy.  Lots of the Trump coalition voters drop away.

Both your takes on the future are as good as any. Projecting into the future 2-3 years and being accurate must have longer odds than winning the lottery 3 times in a row. I do agree a republican dark horse will distinguish themselves enough to be a possibility. The democrats have some large decisions to make on the direction of their party. That will determine the possible candidates. It is a safe bet to say whoever they are they will go through the primaries and not be "selected" just prior to the convention.

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