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Too many needs to be trading away picks IMO.


 

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Agreed here, and I think Caldwell agrees, as well.  Giving up three valuable picks to draft a QB in free fall wouldn't make sense. 


 

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Nothing is guaranteed as far as player success in the NFL.

 

Draft pick quantity will always win out in the end, as the odds will be in your favor of hitting with more of the selections. 


 

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For those of you saying trading the 3rd and 4th round picks to move back to the 1st round would be a bad thing.....


 

From 2000 - 2013, the number of 3rd and 4th round picks that made the pro bowl is 62 out of 896 picks (not including compensatory picks). That is 6.9% of the picks taken during that 14 year span.

 

 

In contrast, the number of 1st round picks that have made the pro bowl is 167 out of 448 picks. That is 37.3% of the picks taken during that 14 year span.

 

Your odds of selecting a talented player actually increase in the first round. The more 1st round picks you have the better your odds are, not the other way around.

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