Quote:It's not complicated. Players with less experience have more potential room for growth. It's why Matt Jones was a first round pick. Players with more experience are a fairly known commodity. It doesn't always ring true, but a raw player should improve more quickly than an experienced one.


So in practice, in this instance for example, Aaron Murray is a miles better quarterback than Savage. Savage is likely to go higher because he has more physical talent and is relatively inexperienced. Or if you had two equal prospects and one has a lot of experience and the other is raw, you would likely take the raw player.

 

I dont agree with your last statement.  If you had two Andrew Luck type prospects but the only difference being one had 3 years of starting experience while the other one only had one year, the guy with the 3 years experience would be drafted first.  You can feel safer that he isnt a flash in the pan or a one year wonder.  Matt Jones wasnt drafted in the first round because he was inexperienced.  He was drafted in the first round because he had rare elite measurables.  If you had the same prospect with the same measurables but 3 years of productive experience at the WR position, he would have gone much higher... heck he would have been Calvin Johnson.

 

Savage and Murray is a different case.  Even if Savage had the same, but less productive, experience as Murray, he'd probably go higher.  Why?  Because he has the required skillset necessary to be a pro QB while Murray does not.  

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