Quote:I dont agree with your last statement.  If you had two Andrew Luck type prospects but the only difference being one had 3 years of starting experience while the other one only had one year, the guy with the 3 years experience would be drafted first.  You can feel safer that he isnt a flash in the pan or a one year wonder.  Matt Jones wasnt drafted in the first round because he was inexperienced.  He was drafted in the first round because he had rare elite measurables.  If you had the same prospect with the same measurables but 3 years of productive experience at the WR position, he would have gone much higher... heck he would have been Calvin Johnson.

 

Savage and Murray is a different case.  Even if Savage had the same, but less productive, experience as Murray, he'd probably go higher.  Why?  Because he has the required skillset necessary to be a pro QB while Murray does not.  

 

I don't like your Andrew Luck example.  If you have 2 elite prospects then there isn't going to be a whole lot of improvement needed to be seen.  They are already at the top.  You'd probably go with the safer pick in that instance.

 

If you have 2 mid round pass rushers and they both have the same talent and both put up mediocre numbers at best.  One is a 5th year senior with 4 years of experience.  The other just walked on and has one year of college football experience.  Most would rather go with the upside of the less experienced player.

 

If Matt Jones had played receiver in college for 2 or 3 years and showed what he showed in his workouts then he wouldn't have been a 1st round pick.

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