Quote:What was even more interesting is that the data shows it is far more successful to take your QB in the second half of the first round. I would have never guessed that. That is what history has shown though.

 

Those in the lower half of the first round have lower expectations so the busts don't drag them down as much. If you look just at their CAV and disregard the expectations (which he doesn't in this particular article because it's about risk) I'm sure the top half would be far more successful.

 

He should really separate DTs from DEs instead of grouping them together under DL because one has a lot of busts and one is very safe. Also CB is very different from S but those are lumped under DB.

 

As he said in the last paragraph, only scratching the surface. I'd love to see the data on CAV broken out by GM to see who was the best talent evaluator over that time span.

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