Quote:HB...I would personally like to see him get into that 20 - 25 TD range with 12 - 14 INTs...with 3,500 - 3,800 yards...none of those stats are crazy...the problem is he has never really come close to these type of stats over the course of a season in his career.

 

I'd say that is pretty reasonable expectation for that tier of player.  He actually threw for 3241 yards starting 13 games last year, (he actually played in 15).  For some perspective, that figure was 18th in the NFL last year among starting QBs.  

 

He completed 60.1% of his passes last year which would put him at 24th among full time starters.  Below average.

 

He only had 13 TDs last year, which isn't very good obviously.  It puts him at 28th in the league last year.  Historically his TD/int ration hasn't been great.

 

Coming into his third year with the team, he's had two offensive coordinators so it'll be interesting to see what he can do this year with a second consecutive year in the system.  Some basic assumptions would be that the team as a whole will be more efficient and that the defense will be able to give the offense a few more opportunities here and there.  Also, with another year in the system, Henne should be a little more comfortable and hopefully make fewer mistakes.

 

Given that, I think a 5 percent improvement is reasonable over 16 games and projected based on what he did last year he could reasonably throw for about 3890 yards and 16 TDs.  Not spectacular numbers but not garbage either and respectable for a backup who is being forced into a starting role because we don't have our franchise guy yet.

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