Quote:I'd bet against him. If the guy had such a bright future, he'd have been a potential first-round pick more than two weeks before the draft, and he wouldn't have tanked to the fourth round when it counted. You can't teach physical attributes, I know, but plenty of mid-round QBs with great physical attributes have been career backups.

 

Savage was, imo, the first product of "we have two extra weeks" syndrome. Everyone know who the best prospects were, so it was time to dig into the bag of tricks and pull out a guy with a cannon arm. Never mind that he changed colleges roughly as often as most people change their sheets, or that he's two years older than the average rookie and coming from middling competition. I'd compare his draft profile to that of Ryan Nassib, who went from a mid-round pick to a top-ten candidate for some reason or another, then tanked back down to the fourth round on draft day, reminding everyone that GMs get paid a lot to be right, and Kiper gets paid a lot more to be wrong.

 

  Like I expressed in another thread,   I like the risk/ reward of the Tom Savage pick.   Even if you are proven correct,  which is certainly a realistic possibility,   the Texans made a good decision in taking Savage at that point of the draft.   

 

  The last two drafts,  QB's for the most part have lasted longer than in the drafts prior to that.   Because of the high bust rate of QB's,  many NFL organizations seem to be becoming more cautious in taking a QB in the first couple of days of the draft.   If a number of QB's from the last couple of drafts taken in Rounds 4 and 5 go on to perform at a level noticeably higher than when they were taken,  there's a good chance that more QB's will be taken in the first 3 Rounds in the latter half of this decade.

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