Quote: 

Let's look at the schedule for this season;

 

At Eagles    (L?) .500 team over the last five years 

 

At Redskins (W?) sub 500 team over the last five years

 

Colts (L) - plus 500 team over the last five years

 

At Chargers (L?) - sub 500 team over the last five years

Steelers  (L) - 500 team over the last five years

At Titans (W) - sub 500 team over the last five years

Browns (W) - sub 500 team over the last five years

Dolphins (W) - sub 500 team over the last five years

At Bengals (W)- 500 team over the last five years

Cowboys (W) - sub 500 team over the last five years

Bye

At Colts (W) plus 500 team over the last five years

Giants (L) - 500 team over the last five years

Texans (W) - 500 team over the last five years

At Ravens (L) - 500 team over the last five years

Titans (W) sub 500 team over the last five years

Texans (W) 500 team over the last five years

 

In the above scenario the team would go 10-6, but I expect things could happen...

 

The way I look at it, you've got six games against sub 500 teams (over the last five years) on your schedule. At the very least, you should expect to win every one of them. Then you've got two games against the Texans... the thing that made them a .500 team is gone. Kubiak & Schaub. Yes they've got talent over there, they had talent last season as well & won 2 games, swept by the Jags. Baltimore and Pittsburgh have actually been better teams over the last five years, but they could very well be on a downhill slide. A win against the Jags would help them maintain at the .500 level, a loss could kick them over the edge. 

 

Miami & Cincinnati have actually been better at winning games than Baltimore & Pittsburgh lately, they'll probably maintain that .500 status more so than Pittsburgh & Baltimore. So it's just my opinion, but there's no reason you couldn't beat Cincy, Pittsburgh, & Baltimore (in addition to Miami which is already in the sub .500 list). So that's 9 winnable games. 

 

Cowboys... Giants... they've gotten into the habit of beating themselves lately. Just stay out of their way. That's 13 games (counting the two against Houston) that you can win & still not be a very good team. Eight wins just means that you were better than eight of those bad teams on that particular day. Doesn't make you a "good" team. 

 

Big picture wise, yes... we want our team to be a good team, but for the upcoming season, let's just try to be better than a bunch of bad teams... the more the better. 

 

This is year two for Gus Bradley. As bad as the Jags are, I'd expect 10 to 13 wins. 

 

If you lose to Baltimore & Pittsburgh, no big deal as long as they go on to beat Indy & Houston & Tennessee. If Houston & Tennessee beats Baltimore/Pittsburgh... well, you're going the wrong way. 

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