Quote:Him slipping up or us cutting him results in the same negative outcome for the team. Either way, he is no longer a jag and we had a top 10 bust.

 

However there isn't a guarantee that he will slip up. So holding onto him leaves open the opportunity that he gets his act together and becomes a valuable asset to the team.

 

When facing a decision between two options that have the exact same negative risk, you always go with the one with the highest possible reward.

 

That is just basic business 101.

 

Totally agree.  

 

The one thing I would point out is that it's not Business 101.  Many business decisions are made that only have short term gratification in mind and ignore the long run.  

 

What you described is how a rational actor would behave.  When one states "business" most people consider large corporations (Apple, Walmart, Comcast, etc) with that term.  However, the decisions those large oligopolies consider have nothing to do with rationality and logic but rather shareholder equity and Wall-Street pressure.  Those types of businesses do not act rationally, they act selfishly in a world of no consequentiality.  Meaning they do not reaside in the the real world of supply/demand and limited resources.  

 

That's why I think what you are describing is a thought process or a rational person:  Take a situation, figure outcomes that will be occur.  Decide which outcomes are best for you and which are worse, and make a choice that best gives you the chance for a positive outcome.

 

In the Justin Blackmon situation, there is no negative loss for keeping him as a commodity for the next 2 years.  Therefore, the possession of his contract which has no implication untill he is reinstated should be held.  Of course this would change if some team would offer a player or draft pick that is of equal value.  But most likely that is not going to happen.  

 

So why cut bait on something that you already own that has a value with no expense?  I have a pair of glasses I don't wear anymore.  But I'm not throwing them away because they are nice frames and have my same prescription in them.   To throw them away would be irrational because I know how careless I can be sometimes, so a back up would be nice.  Now with Justin, there's even a possibility that he produces.  So there is an even larger incentive to keep him.  

 

I'm no fan of Justin.  I wish I could be.  But he's just proven to me too much that he's not capable of being an NFL player.  But that doesn't mean I think we should cut him before he fails us for the final time  The fact that we drafted 2 WRs this draft proves that the Front Office is thinking rationally.

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