It'll all come down to turnout.   Republicans vote more in off-year elections.   I think.  

 

If the democrats can use that massive voter database they used so successfully in the presidential election in 2012, they can win.   In 2012, the democrats knew the names and addresses of every democrat, I mean every single one, and they also knew which of them was unlikely to vote, and they concentrated on getting the unlikely voters to the polls.   It was the best get-out-the-vote campaign in history.   And it's one of the main reasons Romney got whipped so soundly.   The republicans actually thought they had a chance going into election day, but they did not understand the depth of the democrats' database and their ability to use it.  

 

So- if the Crist campaign can get their hands on that database and organize a decent get-out-the-vote campaign, they can win. 

 

(Of course, it would also help if they can find somewhere that Scott said something that can be construed as racist.) 

 

Let's face it, in our terribly polarized situation, swing voters are more and more rare.  It's all about getting out the vote. 

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