Ah, so this 'luck metric,' measures how lucky a team is by looking at their point differential? I don't see how point differential directly translates into how lucky a team gets. The Colts were blown out a few times so that skewed things immensely. Doesn't mean they got lucky in every win they had.

 

In fact, the article pirk posted had a different interpretation of 'luck,' which it defined clearly:

 

Quote: 

 

This is a very specific meaning of the term "lucky", wholly unrelated to any specific game circumstances or outcome.  When we say "lucky" here, we are simply referring to the difference between what a team with the Jets' point differential would historically have been expected to achieve in terms of total wins and what the Jets actually achieved, regardless of any individual plays, games, referee's calls, or other circumstances. 

 

So saying the Colts "got lucky," means pretty much nothing.

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