Quote:The issue with BAP is simple:  It doesn't take into account what will be available later.


Going with LOLMADDEN ratings for a second:


At pick 9 the two best players available are:

WR 88 OVR

DE 86 OVR


You project the Top 5 players available in the second round will be:

WR 83 OVR

CB 83 OVR

DT 83 OVR

OG 83 OVR

DE 80 OVR


The drop in talent between the WR's is smaller than the drop in talent between the DE's.  


Then in the third round you might have:

WR 79 OVR

CB 80 OVR

OG 72 OVR

DT 78 OVR

DE 74 OVR


Pure BAP you might go WR/CB/CB 


But from an evaluation stand point you might want to go DE/OG/CB


Of course philosophy matters little when your evaluations are off.


EXAMPLE: (Again using madden ratings to demonstrate)


2010 Draft:

Gene's Board:

Tyson Alualu - 97 OVR


Reality: 

Tyson Alualu - 75 OVR


2011 Draft:


Gene's Board:

Blaine Gabbert - 99 OVR

 

Reality:
Blaine Gabbert - 40 OVR