Quote:Rams and Bills look like the only winnable games for the Raiders.

In fact let's take a look at the schedules for each of the teams.Red means highly unlikely to win (-2 points)
Orange means unlikely to win (-1 point)


 
Green means possible win (1 point)
Blue means likely to win (3 points)

(Current wins are worth 5 points)
Oakland Raiders:

 
vs Broncos

@ Chargers
vs Chiefs
@ Rams -- (COMMON GAME)
vs 49ers
@ Chiefs
vs Bills

@ Broncos


Points: -7Jaguars:
vs Cowboys
@ Colts
vs Giants
vs Texans
@ Ravens
vs Titans (COMMON GAME)
@ Texans


Points: 7Jets: 
vs Steelers
@ Bills
vs Dolphins
@ Vikings

@ Titans
vs Patriots
@ Dolphins


Points: 2Buccaneers:
vs Falcons (COMMON GAME)
@ Redskins
@ Bears
vs Bengals

@ Lions
@ Panthers
vs Packers
vs Saints


Points: 2Titans:
@ Ravens
vs Steelers
@ Eagles

@ Texans
vs Giants

vs Jets (COMMON GAME)
@ Jaguars (COMMON GAME)
vs Colts


Points: 12FALCONS:
@ Buccaneers

@ Panthers

vs Browns
vs Cardinals

@ Packers

vs Steelers
@ Saints

vs Panthers


Points: 8Rams:
@ Cardinals
vs Broncos
@ Chargers
vs Raiders (COMMON GAME)
@ Redskins
vs Cardinals
vs Giants
@ Seahawks


Points: 8

So I'd rank the likelihood of the team getting the first pick:

1. Oakland Raiders

2. New York Jets

3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

4. Jacksonville Jaguars

5. Atlanta Falcons

6. St. Louis Rams

7. Tennessee Titans

Most important games for determining who gets the first pick next week:

Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The winner of this game will take a big drop.  A win by the Falcons almost drops them out of the race.