Updating my thoughts (Updating the system as well: 

 

 


Red means highly unlikely to win (-2 points)


Orange means unlikely to win (-1 point)


 

<b>Green means possible win (1 point)</b>


<b>Blue means likely to win (3 points)


(Current wins are worth 6 points)</b>


Oakland Raiders:

 

@ Chargers

vs Chiefs

@ Rams -- (COMMON GAME)

vs 49ers

@ Chiefs

vs Bills


@ Broncos


Points: -5

Jaguars:


@ Colts

vs Giants

vs Texans

@ Ravens

vs Titans (COMMON GAME)

@ Texans


Points: 9

Jets: 


@ Bills

vs Dolphins

@ Vikings


@ Titans

vs Patriots

@ Dolphins


Points: 10


Buccaneers:


@ Redskins

@ Bears

vs Bengals

@ Lions

@ Panthers

vs Packers

vs Saints


Points: 2


Titans:


vs Steelers

@ Eagles


<b>@ Texans</b>

<b>vs Giants</b>


<b>vs Jets (COMMON GAME)</b>

<b>@ Jaguars (COMMON GAME)</b>

<b>vs Colts</b>


Points: 14

FALCONS:


@ Panthers


vs Browns

vs Cardinals

@ Packers


vs Steelers

@ Saints


vs Panthers


Points: 15

Rams:


vs Broncos

@ Chargers

vs Raiders (COMMON GAME)

@ Redskins

vs Cardinals

vs Giants

@ Seahawks


Points: 13


So I'd rank the likelihood of the team getting the first pick:

1. Oakland Raiders

2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

3. Jacksonville Jaguars

4. New York Jets

5. St. Louis Rams

6. Tennessee Titans

7. Atlanta Falcons


Most important games for determining who gets the first pick next week:


Buccaneers @ Redskins - One of the winnable games for the Buccaneers.


Steelers @ Titans - An upset isn't out of the question with how bad the Steelers have been on the road this year.

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