Quote:I was totally against it at the time.  However, in formulating this post, I looked it up, and according to this link, the average success rate over the years  in the NFL on a 2 point conversion is 50%.  

 

http://www.sportingcharts.com/nfl/stats/...tics/2014/

 

So that means the expected return on a 2 pointer is about the same as on a 1 point kick: 1 point.  (Of course, that is assuming you are an average team.)

 

So I can't criticize it. 

Its how often the Jaguars can pull it off.

We don't have tight ends that catch, which is the usual primary target in the red zone.

We have an inexperienced QB who rarely throws a fade pass.

We have two running backs, one with a recovering foot issue, the other a speedy skinny guy who makes

yardage by making people miss. Hard to do that with everyone bunched up at the 2.

we have an offensive line that is not exactly blowing people off the ball to allow a QB run.

Given those analytics, the jags should never go for 2 unless time is a factor.

As was proven out in the actual game.

If I can figure that out, Coach Bradley and Fisch should be able to, and that scares me.

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