Honestly, here is what I think.

 

The Colts will make it in, that's a given.  I haven't looked lately, but I think that they pretty much have the AFC South title at this point.  The Texans might still be in it mathematically, but I don't see it happening.

 

Getting to the AFC Championship, that's a tough task at this point.  As it stands right now, the Colts would have to be able to beat the Bengals and the winner of Chargers vs. Steelers.  The Colts could lose any one of those games.

 

When getting to the championship round, we must assume that one of the top two seeds will be there (Denver and NE).  I just don't see the Colts beating any of those two teams for the title.  Of course, these last few weeks could change things.

 

As much as I hate to say it, the Colts have done well, but I also believe that part of their success is playing in a weak division.

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