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FSU vs. Oregon - Break it down: Long Form

#18

Quote:What strikes me is that FSU faced 7 teams good at running the ball. They held 5 of them below their normal YPC. 3 of those were well below normal. (You left off 3.4 for UF v FSU. I know it didn't fit your narrative, but it's just as valid a data point. YPC is also a weighted statistic so you divide total yards by total carries if you want an YPC for those games. You calculated YPCPG - Mean YPC per game.)

 

I'd also argue that the last team to exceed their normal rushing average against FSU was Notre Dame on OCTOBER 18. FSU has a very good run defense and it's gotten better as the year went along.

 

As I originally acknowledged in my first post, Oregon is great on offense. Really outstanding. Oregon will almost certainly score in the upper 20s at least. But when FSU's safeties don't have to worry about blowing assignments over the top, they get a lot tougher in the red zone. Add that to the best D-Line Oregon will face all year and FSU should keep them at or under that magical 35 number I talked about originally

 

 

Didn't meet my narrative? Wow this is awesome. I apparently am now both a FSU homer (according to UCFKnight) and a FSU hater (according to you). I missed one team, which was UF, which probably was the best job they've done against a good running team this season. Otherwise, this FSU line has been pushed around quite often this season.

 

I pulled the numbers from ESPN and just took the average. So, since you're so willing to in-depth about this...what is the actual YPC against FSU by those 8 teams?

 

Holding them below their average doesn't really mean much, given that those teams also played lesser teams that give up yardage. The best and only way to really look at them is how they did against FSU...without comparing that to how they did against Ga Southern (as an example).

 

Point is...if the Ducks get 4.4 ypc like what these teams have been getting against FSU...Mariotta will make them pay if they cheat against the run...something that most of those other teams really couldn't do. Moreso, Marcus can make them pay both from him running and throwing.

 

This is going to be a problematic game defensively for the Noles.

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Messages In This Thread
FSU vs. Oregon - Break it down: Long Form - by SpeedyG - 12-10-2014, 06:35 PM
FSU vs. Oregon - Break it down: Long Form - by Guest - 12-26-2014, 04:44 PM



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