Quote:The Jaguars are one of 5 2-win teams.  1 team has 3 wins. 2 teams have 4 wins and 3 teams have 5 wins.

 

The Jaguars on Dec 10 are listed with the 3rd pick with 3 games left.  If the Jaguars win no more games they will receive no worse than the 3rd pick.  Most likely scenario is the Jaguars win one more game and end with no worse than the #6 pick.  Two more wins and the Jaguars end with no worse than the #8 pick.  For the Jaguars to win their last 3 games is very unlikely.

 

Statistically the Jaguars could get a lower pick, but realistically looks like the Jaguars are picking in the top 6.  Of course, 3 more games to go!

 

Assuming we beat Tennessee and the Redskins lose out, we have to take the tiebreaker with them into account.

 

Also, we have to look at Tennessee's next two games: Jets today and Jaguars on Thursday. Mathematical possibilities there (assuming all three teams lose the other two games):

 

Jets and Jaguars win: Titans 2-14, Jets and Jaguars 3-13

Jets and Titans win: Jaguars 2-14, Jets and Titans 3-13

Titans and Jaguars win: Jets 2-14, Titans and Jaguars 3-13

 

How does that work out with the SOS of each team?

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