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Jags favored by 3 points Thursday night
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Interesting to say the least. You read in the paper that the Jaguars are "favored", but that's really not the case. Usually the home team is "given" 3 points just for "home field advantage".
Opening line is Jaguars -3. What this means is there is no clear winner, and Vegas sees this as a "toss up" type of game. Opening over/under is 41 which makes it seem like the game might be a lower scoring affair. The current line is as follows. Jaguars -3.5 - What this means is Vegas is giving a slight nod to the Jaguars, but I certainly wouldn't call it a "favorite". Over/Under - 40.5 - What this means is Vegas is leaning towards a lower scoring game. My Bottom Line Analysis If I was betting or predicting this game, I would bet on the Jaguars... IF Blake Bortles plays. It also depends on how healthy he really is. After reading the latest news, I think that he is fine and will play. I also think that his play combined with the play of the defense should give a win to the Jaguars by more than 3.5 points. I predict that the defense would hold the Titan's offense to 10 points or less, the Jaguar's offense produce's at least 17 points (two touchdowns and a field goal) and special teams will decide the final outcome of the game. If I was to bet the Over/Under I would take the under, but this one is tricky. Assuming the offense and defense performs the way that I predicted above, that would equal 27 points. That means that any other points scored would be from Special Teams and both teams combined would have to score 13.5 points. I don't see that many points being scored by either team's Special Teams squad. I certainly could be wrong, but I just don't see either team putting up enough points to pass 40.5 combined points. Once Again, Disclaimer I don't bet and am in no way giving betting advice to anyone. I'm simply giving my analysis based on the odds. Use my prediction(s) at your own risk. My guess is that the Jaguars win 17-10. There are 10 kinds of people in this world. Those who understand binary and those who don't. |
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