Quote:Do you have any clue about the history for running backs after they hit the 30 year old threshold?  Obviously not. 

 

If you were the GM and did a deal like this, we could be assured of at least another decade of losing. 

 

This is pretty faulty logic, though. As I said before, comparing AP to your average RBs who hit 30 is apples to oranges. Peterson is a generational talent, so he is more outlier potential by default. There have been a handful of elite RBs that have produced into their 30s. The elite guys are who we should be looking at when wondering how likely it is AP can still produce.

 

If you were a gambling man, would you take the over or under for 3,000 yards the next 3 seasons? I'd be inclined to take the over.

---