Quote:This is pretty faulty logic, though. As I said before, comparing AP to your average RBs who hit 30 is apples to oranges. Peterson is a generational talent, so he is more outlier potential by default. There have been a handful of elite RBs that have produced into their 30s. The elite guys are who we should be looking at when wondering how likely it is AP can still produce.

 

If you were a gambling man, would you take the over or under for 3,000 yards the next 3 seasons? I'd be inclined to take the over.

Actually, the logic is extremely sound.  Even the best backs in the history of the league hit a wall, and when they do, it happens quickly.  He's not unique in any way from others who have played before him who saw their skills erode after they crossed that 30 year old threshold.  He MIGHT get production over the next 3 years, or he might not.  There's no guarantee, and with that contract, there has to be some level of expectation that he'll be on the field producing.  For what it would cost to bring him here, we could draft one of the top backs in the draft this year and have an actual fix instead of hoping AP can hold it together.  Sorry, it's a no brainer for me. 

 

Quote:Being older in the NFL is pretty common, lot's of older players who still play.. The trick is to be older and still productive, that's where there's a significant drop-off.. I'm willing to bet AP can still be highly productive given his age..

 

There are some positions where being older than 30 isn't a deterrent.  That's not the case for running backs. 

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