I think people overestimate the power America has.


There are basically four options:  (none of them are particularly good)


#1. Go to War with Iran

#2. Keep the Economic Sanctions/Increase them

#3. Come to a Deal

#4. Let Iran have the bomb.


#1 - Israel likely thinks this option is inevitable.  Maybe it is, maybe it isn't.  But this option is also likely to lead Iran to race to build a nuclear weapon.  Which they don't seem to be too far from doing.  It comes to war, and I think they'll pull out all stops to get a Nuke.  This is also likely to cost many lives.  


#2. The problem with this is simple:  Europe has more economic ties to Israel than we do.  The sanctions were meant to be a way to make a deal.  Then you have China and Russia... there's much more involved than the United States and Israel.  And I think it's something people forget sometimes.  Not to mention that our relationship with Iran would worsen, and would likely drive them to create the bomb anyway.


#3. Get the deal done.  The hard part becomes enforcing it.  Does Iran decide they're Tom Brady and figure they can deflate figures and cheat on the deal?  Putting sanctions back on Iran won't be easy.  And the sanctions would have to be removed at the appropriate time.  Remove them too fast, and Iran has no incentive to follow the deal.  Remove them too slow, and Iran will think that they might as well cheat.  


#4. Israel would probably decide to go to war, thus leading to #1.

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