There's no doubt that having a top draft pick, like first overall, increases your chances of getting a good player.   Absolutely no doubt about that. 

 

My argument is with the idea that it's a good thing to lose so we can get a higher draft pick.  

 

First of all, wins are never meaningless.  You are what your record indicates you are.  If you are 4-12, you have a better team than if you are 1-15. 

 

And that would mean we are that much closer to eventual success.    If we go 1-15 and get the top draft pick, so what?   1-15 means this team STINKS and we are a LONG LONG way from success.   4-12 would mean we are closer to having a playoff team. 

 

There are a lot of teams that are in the playoffs every year, therefore they do not have a top 10 draft pick, hardly ever.  Now you can say it's because they mostly have great quarterbacks, but most of the great quarterbacks in the league today were not selected with the first pick in the draft.  Russell Wilson- 3rd round, Tom Brady- 6th round, Andy Dalton- 2nd round?     Drew Brees, Colin Kaepernick, and on and on- a lot of top QBs were not selected with a high draft pick. 

 

You don't get better by getting worse.   Becoming the worst team in the league so we can roll the dice on the first pick in the draft, that's not very wise and it's not the way most successful teams become successful. 

---