Last week, the inverse relationship between personal prediction records and favorite team performance continued.  Week 2 saw me go 0-4, while the Jaguars exceeded my expectations, wile week 3 saw me go 3-0 in predictions while the team did worse than expected in a blowout loss to the Pats. 

 

This week is a very short one, with only two games involving division opponents being played, with the Tacks being off this week.

 

Houston (1-2) at Atlanta (3-0)-While Atlanta is unbeaten, I am not yet sold they are that great.  However, they are at home, have a lot of momentum, and face a Houston team with holes.  Houston has no answer for Julio Jones.  Atlanta wins 27-17.

 

Jacksonville (1-2) at Indy (1-2)-This is a rare must win week 3 game for the Jags, since we have typically been out of hope by this time in recent years.  This is also a rare must win game for the Colts, who avoided disaster last week in eking out a win over the tacks.  The Colts are a flawed team.  I was skeptical over the FA signing of older players like Gore and Andre Johnson, and I did not care for the selection of Dorsett in the first round, though admittedly I felt if it DID work, Indy would have a versatile passing game that could match up well with just about everyone.  Fortunately, it hasn't worked out for them thus far.  However, the teams that have beaten them thus far (Buffalo and the NYJ) both have strong pass rushes and good secondaries.  Jacksonville sadly has neither of those, as both the DL and the secondary have been ravaged by injuries.  I think the Jaguars have something like 5 healthy DBs going into this game.  In order to beat the Colts, they will need a defensive performance similar to the game in Indy last year, and improved offensive productivity.  I don't think they cobble enough together to get it done, but I hope I am wrong again.  Colts 28-Jaguars 21.

 

Last week:  3-0

Overall:  5-6 

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