A quarter of the way through the season, the AFC south is a picture in mediocrity.  The defending division champs, Indy, got thumped by Buffalo and the Jets to start the season, and eked out two wins against division opponents Tennessee and Jacksonville, who outplayed them throughout the game only to give it away with penalties and missed FGs.  Tennessee started out great, blowing out Tampa in the debut of the top two picks in the draft, then came back down to earth.  Jacksonville lost at least one game they should have won, and got crushed by New England, while Houston and their much ballyhooed defense has looked like anything but a playoff team holds down the AFCS cellar with my Jaguars.

 

On to this week's games.

 

 

Indy
(2-2) at Houston
(1-3)-The Colts, fresh off a win against the Jaguars in a game they probably should not have won without Luck, go down to Houston with their QB against the Texans, who gave up 42 to a red hot Atlanta team.   Houston has managed to rank 7th in total offense and 22nd in total defense.  Oddly enough, turnovers in this instance are a most misleading stat.  The Texans are -6 in after 4 weeks and are 1-3.  Indy is -9 in the same stat yet are 2-2.  With Luck back, I have Indy beating Houston 27-17.

 

Jacksonville
(1-3 at Tampa
(1-3)-My Jaguars have the chance to win the mythical Florida State Championship by winning against Tampa having already beaten Miami earlier in the year.  In a battle of two more flawed teams, I have to go with the better QB-Bortles, who may be getting Thomas back this week.  Jacksonville wins 23-17 over Tampa.

 

Buffalo
(2-2) at Tennessee
(1-2)  Tennessee has had extra time to prepare for Rex Ryan's Bills.  Not sure if they can handle that defense with a rookie QB, even with that extra time.  What may help Tennessee is that Watkins and mcCoy are banged up for Buffalo, but ultimately I think Buffalo wins 26-14.

 

Last week:  2-0

Overall:  6-7 

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