Quote:Why wouldn't it? If it's not, that statistic is/was garbage.

 

I'm not a statistician but I can tell you that if a statistic says a team has a 1/10 chance of making the playoffs, and they make the playoffs, this doesn't disprove the statistic unless the statistic was 0/10.  

 

With that said, we all know who's been winning the AFCS.  It's no secret.  You could make another statistic that puts the Colts chances of winning at 90+% or whatever it is.  But that's not the point.  The point is how ridiculous it is to defy basic mathematical rules with a team that doesn't even justify it.  The statistic is correct and will likely continue to be correct.  In the near future, 11% of 0-2 teams will continue to make the playoffs reguardless of what the Colts do.  So there is no reason the Colts should be winning the division in the real world (which apparently doesn't include the AFCS).   

 

I'm not going to say I'm extremely knowledgable with the Colts roster, but I know there's problems.   Players reaching expiration dates.  Franchise QB not playing well.  Questionable roster.  No wins outside the division.  If the AFCS is this bad and you can barely beat them (without a series of preposterous events), how good could you actually be?  

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