Quote:1. The media is dying for Hillary to win. The polls I've seen lately indicate that the people feel otherwise.

 

2. Jeb is done. Fiorina might as well be. Trump and Carson are the "never held an office" candidates to watch, and either one of them would be pasted in the general election. Carson in particular has a ton of far right support, but he's about as well liked as a root canal amongst moderates and Democrats.

 

3. If you consider Paul to be crazy and Cruz not, we need to send you in for a brain warranty replacement. Yours might be severely malfunctioning.

 

4. Rubio might be the Republican Party's only real hope. Unfortunately, the rest of the Republican field knows that, and they'll be targeting his attendance records, his failed finances, corruption within his fundraising, etc. He's got time to rebound, but he needs a few other candidates out of the race now to get the heat off.

 

5. I think that Cruz is just laughably far to the right, so much so that he has no real chance of winning the nomination. It will, imo, end up a race between Trump, Carson and Rubio.

I agree with everything here other than Trump. I don't think he would fair nearly as bad in the general and would actually have a decent shot of winning, IMO. He's not completely out there and he says a lot of things that liberals like and conservatives hate just as much as he says things that cons love and liberals hate. He's the closest thing to a centrist in this election and I think that appeals to a lot of people. 

 

I think Carson is a fluke that will fade out soon-ish once the non-nutty ultra right start looking towards the general election but Trump looks to have staying power. 

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