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So who is going to be the Republican Nominee?

#11

Right now From Ted Cruz perspective he is still mathematically alive to 1.) hit 1237, even though its a 100 to one shot, 2.) Finish ahead of Trump in the final delegate count or 3.) CATCH TRUMP IN DELEGATES (Achieving delegate parody creating a virtual tie and a legitimate claim to a floor fight.)  Right now he has pulled within the margin of error in national polling, there is about to be a showdown at the ok coral in Wisconsin.  

 

These three possibilities are the basis for Ted Cruz continuing his Campaign.  As bitter as this campaign has been, Ted Cruz has a greater loyalty to the democratic process than he does to the Washington Cartel.  At such time that all three of the above scenarios become mathematically eliminated, meaning that there is no realistic chance that he will finish in anything resembling delegate parody with Trump, I believe that Ted Cruz would rather concede the nomination to Trump than to stay in and play the spoiler just for the establishment that hates him to pull Jeb Bush off the Scrap heap. 

 

That being said, the next month or so is critical to the Cruz campaign.  We are in a little bit of a stand alone phase.  We have the Wisconsin Primary, winner take all.  Then we have two weeks off before I believe New York (winner take most or all very similar to Utah).  Trump, by most measures, should win a true and comfortable majority in his home state of new York.  If Trump takes Wisconsin you could have Ted Cruz fighting three weeks worth of loosing vote counts and a delegate gap ever widening between him and the front runner.  If he wins, all bets are off and we will be in this thing for sure until California and who knows what will happen over the next three months. 


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So who is going to be the Republican Nominee? - by jj82284 - 03-27-2016, 11:57 PM



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