Quote:I see two realistic scenarios:

 

1: Trump wins the popular vote, also gets the nomination in which case the actual race might be a close one.

2: Trump wins the popular vote, but doesn't get the nomination in which case the GOP loses all credibility and the election is a walkover for the Democrats. 

 

The thing is, Trump isn't even winning the popular vote within the republican party right now.  If (and when) it does go to a brokered convention, all bets are off.

 

Quote:http://www.cnn.com/2016/03/25/politics/t...delegates/


I believe there are actually 899 delegates or there in abouts.


Trump needs 55% with the higher concentration of winner take all and winner take most states in this leg of the primary season trump has a better than even money chance of hitting 1237 outright.

 

I don't know where they are getting their figure.  I'm tracking it here at RealClearPolitics.  Add up the remaining delegates, and that's where I got my numbers.  I suspect maybe they are counting the "hidden delegates" such as the delegates in Colorado.

 

One interesting thing that I saw today is Trump being a sore loser.  Again, he didn't win the popular vote and it looks like the Cruz campaign has done a better job there.  I suspect that there are many other states that are similar.

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