Quote:You don't see much fall off?  Really?  The dude won 35% + in the south...  THE SOUTH!  You know, the whole basis of the republican party since Nixon is to appease the dixie-crats that left the Democratic party after the Civil Rights revolution of the 60s...  It's called the Southern Strategy.  And it's a real thing.

 

If those people don't come out to vote, Hillary wins in a land slide...  I mean, come on...  you're  just wishful thinkin', right?

 

And he doesn't have to announce his independent run quickly at all.  That's not the point.  The point is that he's a disruptor.  His whole campaign as been similar and the anti-thesis of Bernie Sanders this entire time.  The thing is, Republicans are more radicalized than the establishment democrats (unfortunately...).  Republicans have been indoctrinated for years now to be upset with everyone, including republicans in the House and Senate.  Heck, Cruz called the majority leader a liar.  LOL, that's awesome, except you make your entire base distrust EVERYONE.  

 

Let's face it, the entire Republican Party has realized they cannot tolerate Trump.  The problem is that they didn't account for the chickens coming home to roost. The divorce from Trump will alienate the 35% of your party that you guys exploited for the last 40 years...  Ted Cruz isn't gonna gobble up those people.

 

Cruz is a fundamentalist radical.  His support comes from Glenn Beck listeners and the like.  That's his base.  GLENN BECK...  A guy too crazy for Fox News...  FOX NEWS!

 

You think moderate republicans are gonna vote for him?  Nope.  They'll just stay home.  It's a landslide if Cruz steals the nomination.  

 

Let that sink in for a minute.

 

I'm going based on what I hear most conservative leaning people say.  While some of them really like Trump, they would vote for anybody but Hillary (the presumed democrat nominee).  From what they say, they will not go with Trump to an Independent ticket, even if it comes down to that.

 

Now I do admit, the people that I'm around every day are a bit more educated and understand that voting for an Independent means a win for Hillary.  At most, Trump would take the younger Trumpettes with him who have no idea about how things work as well as the "ill-informed voters".  That will not be enough for him to win.

 

As far as more moderate leaning voters (democrats and/or republicans), yes some will stay home, but I'll bet that far more will come out to place a vote "against Hillary", regardless of who the republican nominee happens to be.

 

If the republican party chooses to nominate Marco Rubio, he would get those votes hands down.  I've mentioned it before and I'll say it again.  My parents happen to be life-long democrats and have said that they WILL NOT vote for either Hillary or Bernie at all.  They actually wanted Rubio to win the republican nomination and would vote for him.  There are many others like them.

 

That being said, they would stay home if the republican nominee was Trump or Cruz.

 

Quote:lol this jagiblieve guy is still high on Rubio

Quote:Well, he is going to be the appointee.

 

It's my opinion that Marco Rubio will probably win the nomination if it goes to a contested convention.  The GOP has made it clear that they don't want Trump, and Cruz isn't exactly the "darling" of the GOP.  I don't see the GOP being stupid enough to put someone like Bush or Kasich in, as that would basically be a "death warrant".  I do believe that most in the republican party would support Rubio, and he can win the moderate vote from both republicans and democrats.

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