Quote:So if there is a 20% chance of 1 player repeating with 10+ TDs and the Jags had 2 players do it in 2015, then there is actually a 40% chance that 1 will have 10+ TDs this year and 4% chance that BOTH will have 10+ TD's. 

 

Because TD's have so much variance, it would be more interesting to see how consistent those players were for the following 2 years +/- from their first 10+ TD season.

 

One thing that would be interesting would be how often for on teams where a player fails to reach 10+ TDs the 2nd time, how often another player increases their total to 10+ TDs. As in say, neither get 10+ TD's, but now J. Thomas does.