Quote:If you really believe this, then I have some excellent games of chance that I wish to engage you in.

 

Quote:I may be wrong, but I don't think that's how that works.

 

OP said that Hurns and Robinson have a 20% chance of repeating. I was just explaining with simple statistics what the probability would be for one of them or both of them, because it would be different.

 

Now this is only basic statistics. It is the equivalent of what are the chances of getting head on a coin flip. Given football is not simple statistics because of some other variables, I could not calculate that. I wasn't give any advanced information as to what happens if both players are on the same team, etc. Not to mention 40 times is not a high number of repetitions, if you want to disregard those factors, you would need a sample size probably way in the hundreds. 

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