Quote:I was doing the math wrong which happens when you do math post call. Since 4% of the time, they would both do it at the same time. So the chances either of them having a 10+ TD season is 36%.

I love questions like this. It's been so long since I took statistics, I've forgotten how to do it. I had to look it up.


Bottom line, you are correct, if the odds of one of them making it is 20%, then since there are two of them, the odds of at least one of them making it is 36%.


But I'm not sure I agree with the way you came up with the answer. The way I understand it, if the odds of either one of them not making it is 80%, then the odds of both of them not making it is .8 x .8 = .64. Which means the odds of at least one of them making it is 36%.

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