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Republican Turnout up 62%, Dems down 21%

#11
(This post was last modified: 07-08-2016, 03:03 AM by HandsomeRob86.)

Quote:There is zero evidence to show Trump will get anything close to the support from black voters that McCain or Romney had. Both had around 5% against a black candidate. Trump is hovering around 1%.

 

He is also polling lower among gay voters than Romney did.
http://rare.us/story/new-poll-has-good-n...inorities/

Whelp this is what I found, and it is not a pro-trump poll at all but it still says 5% of Blacks, 20% of hispanics. And this is a democrat released poll, so almost certainly biased (methodology not told, so we just get what the article says).

 

Heres another one I found, its non partisan, and is some sort of data-mining by Harvard (done over the Month of June), the methodology explanation is a bit vague, but it appears that it accurately predicted the republican primary:

http://culturintel.tumblr.com/post/14551...rise-at-37

Trump at 37% amount Hispanics, and 26% among Blacks.

 

He would kill Hillary with those numbers. What I didn't find was the 1% you quoted. If a Democrat hit poll says 5%, you better believe that's the floor. I did notice that LGBT support was not listed there at all.

 

Now I took a look at real clear politics to find a breakdown by demographic, but didn't see anything dividing by race or sexual orientation. Howerver, when I looked into yougov's polls tho, I found major sources of bias. For instance, the July 6th yougov poll was composed of only 51% Christians (if you count Catholics/mormans as Christian), when they make up 70% of the general population in the US. Somehow 23% were 'nothing in particular' and another 9% where of a religion that is not Muslim, Hindu, Protestant, Morman, Jewish, or Catholic. 5.9% were atheist, and 7% Agnostic. When 70% of Americans identify themselves as Christians they shouldn't make up only 51% of your poll. This is why the polls keep miss-predicting. I wonder how many of the other realclearpolitic polls suffer from this sample bias as well?




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Republican Turnout up 62%, Dems down 21% - by HandsomeRob86 - 07-08-2016, 02:55 AM



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