Quote:I'm not sure Trump can win this election, but I can't imagine how States like Texas, Georgia, Arizona, and North Carolina can be considered toss-up States when Obama couldn't win them and he had record turn out. Obama inspired his entire party to vote for him. Most of the people voting for Clinton didn't even want her as their candidate, and its obvious from her rallies--no one is interested in Clinton. There's no motivation to vote for her.

 

Trump, no matter how much you dislike him, has motivated a large portion of the Republican voters.

 

I think, like always, this comes down to Ohio. If Trump can push the rising costs of ObamaCare and how much that'll influence the large blue collar population there, then he can close the 2.9% difference from the 2012 election. Some polls show him ahead there, too. 

 

The states you named are "tossups" right now, which is based on recent polling from many organizations. Only that matters, not 2012 election results, when people talk about which states are red, blue, or purple (as I like to call tossups).

 

I personally hate it when articles report "Trump is leading in ______" if the poll results are within the margin of error. In Georgia, Trump is reportedly leading by 2. Is that enough to take poll results seriously?

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