Quote:I've never said any QB was a sure thing, but nice strawman again.

 

Let me make it clear (though everybody else seems to understand perfectly fine). I will explain it to you like I would explain it to my 8 year old niece.

 

"You want a gumball that costs 25 cents. Under one cup is either a penny or a quarter. Under a second cup, is either a nickel or a dime. You can only have what is under one of the cups."

 

In this analogy, the Super Bowl appearnce is the gumball. The penny is a draft bust QB, the quarter is a draft boom QB. The nickel is game-mager QB (Kolb, Flynn), the dime is a slightly above average QB (Schaub).

 

 

If you take the nickel/dime cup, you might end up with more money than somebody who ended up with a penny, but you still won't be able to get that gumball. If you take a game-manager/slightly above average QB, you may win a few more games than somebody who drafts a bust QB, but it's highly unlikely you are making it to a Super Bowl.