Quote:I love when I go to the nfl.com team stats page and the Jaguars are right there listed #2 in pass defense, a number that's all the more impressive given the Jaguars lack of a pass rush. 


 

The Jaguars rank 26th in points allowed per game with 26.1 points. From the stats in the opening post, Blake has had 3 pick sixes plus there was a punt return for a score. Subtracting 28 points from their total points and then dividing the result by 12 games puts the Jaguars at 23.8 points per game. The Bucs are currently ranked 19th with 23.8 points per game allowed.


 

I'd be hesitant to go much further in subtracting points because it would only be fair if you did the same for all the other teams.

 

When your offense or ST puts the opponent in FG range, I think it's pretty safe and easy to assign at least the 3 points to whichever side of the ball is responsible depending on the circumstances.  I did not assign all 7 if a TD was given up as the Defense in most of the examples still had an opportunity to get a stop and force a FG.  Also, more often than not, if you're giving the opponent the ball inside your own 40, it means you probably didn't have possession very long and your defense is having to trot back out there on short rest.  It's the worst thing a team can do which negatively affects your chances of winning the game.  We seem to do it way too often.

 

Kinda like in baseball how a relief pitcher isn't responsible for runners already on base when he enters the game.  The current league wide successful FG percentage regardless of where the ball is being kicked from is 84.5%.  I don't think you can put the 3 on the D in these examples.

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