As I said in a response about this in the other thread, a team like the Jags that are visibly partnered with the military in a military town like Jacksonville aren't likely to bring in someone whose off the field activities are found to be offensive by a majority of former and current military members.  So if you're a fan of Kaepernick and the Jags, I'd advise tempering your expectations that the team brings him in or that he would even have success here.

 

Secondly, teams don't let "good" QBs walk.  If San Fran can't renegotiate his contract and decides to cut Kaepernick outright or let him walk (whichever ends up being the case based on however his contract is written), that should be all anyone needs to know about what they're getting in a free agent.  The only non-injury situation I can think of where a team signed a free agent QB who had an extended history as a starter in this league and did well with them for an extended period of time is Rich Gannon.  The other two are Drew Brees and Peyton Manning who both had serious injury concerns. Otherwise they would have never been allowed to walk from the teams that drafted them.  I don't want to sound like I'm suggesting it's never a good idea to sign free agent QBs, I just wouldn't automatically believe our savior has arrived.

 

Thirdly, he'll turn 30 mid way through the season next year.  At some point in the not too distant future, his legs are going to betray him.  His success is predicated on the risk that he could take off and run at any moment.  Once that risk is gone and he's forced to stay in the pocket, I don't believe he'll sniff a starting job ever again.

 

I think what's most likely is he'll still be the starter for the 49ers in training camp in 2017 but he'll be under a new, market-value contract and that competition will be brought in via the draft or free agency.  If any current 49ers QB will be on another team next year, it's much more likely to be Gabbert.

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